Dokumentenserver der Freien Universität Berlin

Objekt-Metadaten

Water scenarios for the Zambezi River Basin, 2000 - 2050
Beck, Lucas ;  Bernauer, Thomas ;  Freie Universität Berlin, Fachbereich Politik- und Sozialwissenschaften, Forschungsstelle für Umweltpolitik

Main titleWater scenarios for the Zambezi River Basin, 2000 - 2050
AuthorBeck, Lucas
AuthorBernauer, Thomas
InstitutionFreie Universität Berlin, Fachbereich Politik- und Sozialwissenschaften, Forschungsstelle für Umweltpolitik
No. of Pages29 S.
Series
Classification (DDC)320 Political science
AbstractConsumptive water use in the Zambezi river basin (ZRB), one of the largest freshwater

catchments in Africa and worldwide, is currently around 15-20% of total runoff.

This suggests many development possibilities, particularly for irrigated agriculture and

hydropower production. Development plans of the riparian countries indicate that consumptive water use might increase up to 40% of total runoff already by 2025. We have constructed a rainfall–runoff model for the ZRB that is calibrated on the best available runoff data for the basin. We then feed a wide range of water demand drivers as well as climate change predictions into the model and assess their implications for runoff at key points in the water catchment. The results show that, in the absence of effective international cooperation on water allocation issues, population and economic growth, expansion of irrigated agriculture, and water transfers, combined with climatic changes are likely to have very important transboundary impacts. In particular, such impacts involve drastically reduced runoff in the dry season and changing shares of ZRB countries in runoff and water demand. These results imply that allocation rules should be set up within the next few years before serious international conflicts over sharing the Zambezi’s waters arise.
Documents
pdf-Datei
If your browser can't open the file, please download the file first and then open it
 
FU DepartmentProceedings of the Berlin Conferences on   Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change
Year of publication2010
Type of documentConferencepresentation
LanguageEnglish
Terms of use/Rights Nutzungsbedingungen
Authors commentsD8: Application of Scenarions
Created at2010-11-11 : 02:04:02
Last changed2014-01-23 : 04:25:13
 
Static URLhttp://edocs.fu-berlin.de/docs/receive/FUDOCS_document_000000007054
Statistics